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After Tucker Carlson: Expect a new face, not a new formula, at Fox

The abrupt firing of Fox News host Tucker Carlson, less than a week after Fox’s parent company agreed to pay $787 million to settle a defamation lawsuit, has set off shockwaves in media and political circles. Mr. Carlson’s weeknight show had made him a conservative media star and a kingmaker within the Republican Party, particularly its pro-Trump wing where his bomb-throwing culture-war agenda resonated. 

Still, “the [Fox] show goes on,” predicts A.J. Bauer, an assistant professor of journalism at the University of Alabama who researches conservative media. “The time slots matter more than the people in them.”

Why We Wrote This

Why would you fire your top-rated host? Fox News has a history of doing just that – with its brand being more important than any individual personality.

Mr. Carlson’s ouster may turn on another lawsuit beyond the defamation one. Last month, Abby Grossberg, a former producer for Mr. Carlson, filed a complaint against Mr. Carlson and Fox, alleging a pattern of misogynistic behavior toward colleagues and guests. Fox responded by firing Ms. Grossberg, whom it accused of disclosing privileged information. 

Her lawsuit echoes past upheaval at Fox News, such as the ouster of Mr. Carlson’s predecessor, Bill O’Reilly. 

Mr. Carlson is “a bit of a lawsuit risk” to Fox and its owners, says Nicole Hemmer, a political historian at Vanderbilt University. “There’s a cost to keeping Carlson on air.” 

The abrupt firing of Fox News prime-time host Tucker Carlson, less than a week after Fox’s parent company agreed to pay $787 million to settle a defamation lawsuit, has set off shockwaves in media and political circles. Since 2017, Mr. Carlson’s 8 p.m. weekday show had made him a conservative media star and a kingmaker within the Republican Party, particularly its pro-Trump wing where his bomb-throwing culture-war agenda resonated. 

His departure, which Fox announced Monday in a terse statement, represents a potential hinge point for the network, which has the highest ratings in cable news television, but faces growing competition from right-wing digital media, especially for younger viewers, and is currently in negotiations with cable companies over bundled fees paid by subscribers. On Monday night, Brian Kilmeade, a co-host of Fox & Friends, hosted its 8 p.m. show. Fox is expected to rotate hosts in that slot until it picks a permanent replacement for Mr. Carlson. 

Still, anyone who expects a substantive shift at Fox, such as a retreat from the hard-right ideas that Mr. Carlson espoused, may be disappointed, say analysts. A more likely outcome is a new face on Fox with similar opinions who can serve the same audience. “The show goes on,” says A.J. Bauer, an assistant professor of journalism at the University of Alabama who researches conservative media. “The time slots matter more than the people in them.”

Why We Wrote This

Why would you fire your top-rated host? Fox News has a history of doing just that – with its brand being more important than any individual personality.

Last week, Fox settled a lawsuit filed by Dominion Voting Systems over false claims of voting-machine fraud aired after the 2020 election by Mr. Carlson and other opinion hosts. But the company faces other legal perils: Another voting-machine company, Smartmatic, has also sued the network, raising the possibility of further payouts by Fox Corp., which is controlled by Rupert Murdoch and his family. 

Brendan McDermid/Reuters/File

People pass by a promo of Fox News host Tucker Carlson on the News Corp. building in New York, March 13, 2019.

New legal risks?

Mr. Carlson’s ouster, however, may turn more on another lawsuit. Last month, Abby Grossberg, a former producer for Mr. Carlson, filed a complaint against Mr. Carlson and Fox, alleging a pattern of misogynistic behavior toward colleagues and guests. Fox responded by firing Ms. Grossberg, whom it accused of disclosing privileged information. 

Her lawsuit has echoes of past upheaval at Fox News. In 2016-17, multiple lawsuits and instances of alleged sexual harassment led to the ousting of its founder Roger Ailes and a prime-time host, Bill O’Reilly, whom Mr. Carlson eventually replaced on air. Fox paid millions of dollars to settle multiple claims by women against Mr. Ailes, who died in 2017, and Mr. O’Reilly. 

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