Enough Iranians overcame deep-seated antagonism toward the Islamic Republic to elect a reformist, Masoud Pezeshkian, as president July 5, sparking modest hopes of improved lives and of Iran reengaging with the West.
In a first-round vote that was marked by the lowest-ever turnout since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Dr. Pezeshkian’s mantra to “save Iran” and improve the economy by easing U.S.-led sanctions elevated him above the field.
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The one reformist candidate allowed to stand for president in Iran faced severe hurdles, not least of which was a public largely unwilling to confer legitimacy on the regime by voting. But his everyman persona and a message of improving lives resonated.
There had been widespread calls to boycott the vote in the wake of the months of protests triggered in September 2022 by the killing in custody of a young woman. Still, some 10 million more Iranians voted in the runoff, decisively choosing the reformist heart surgeon over his hard-line opponent.
Dr. Pezeshkian tapped into an everyman persona, far from elitist circles and “very different from other [previous] reformist candidates,” says Adnan Tabatabai, an Iran expert in Bonn, Germany.
“What is really different this time around is that the overall situation has made clear: If you allow the most radical minds to govern the country in its entirety, the result will be catastrophic and get even worse,” says one longtime observer in Tehran who asked not to be further identified. “And that, obviously, is something that voters care about.”
Enough Iranians overcame deep-seated antagonism toward the Islamic Republic to elect a reformist president July 5, disrupting years of blanket hard-line rule and sparking modest hopes, both of improved lives and of Iran re-engaging with the United States and the West.
Masoud Pezeshkian’s mantra to “save Iran,” and to improve the economy by easing U.S.-led Western sanctions, elevated him above a field of hard-line and conservative candidates in the first round of voting June 28.
That was a definite snub to the regime, along with the lowest-ever turnout – just below 40% of 61 million eligible voters – since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
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The one reformist candidate allowed to stand for president in Iran faced severe hurdles, not least of which was a public largely unwilling to confer legitimacy on the regime by voting. But his everyman persona and a message of improving lives resonated.
There had been widespread calls to boycott the vote in the wake of the months of protests triggered in September 2022 by the killing in custody of a young woman, Mahsa Amini, for allegedly showing too much hair. Still, some 10 million more Iranians decided to come to the ballot box for the run-off, decisively choosing the reformist heart surgeon over his hard-line opponent, former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili.
“The reformist campaign was a very clear one: If, with Dr. Pezeshkian, a better situation is a possibility, then the deterioration of the situation under Mr. Jalili is a certainty. That was the formula they used,” says Adnan Tabatabai, an Iran expert and founder of the Center for Applied Research in Partnership with the Orient, in Bonn, Germany.
Dr. Pezeshkian tapped into an everyman persona, far from elitist circles and “very different from other [previous] reformist candidates,” he says.
“He may be a heart surgeon – and of course is not a working-class person – but he has appeal among them,” says Mr. Tabatabai, speaking from Tehran. “Which is why [Dr. Pezeshkian], with his uncorrupt ways, and more relatable to the population, was able to awaken some significant parts of those who had decided to no longer participate in elections.”
Two days before the vote, former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif – who campaigned frequently for Dr. Pezeshkian – called on voters to “send home those who have accomplished nothing for the country but sanctions, humiliation, and misery.”
When the results were announced, Dr. Pezeshkian vowed to “usher in a new chapter” for Iran, despite an upcoming “trial of hardships and challenges, simply to provide a prosperous life to our people.”
The rushed election was held after the death in a May helicopter crash of President Ebrahim Raisi. The hard-line former prosecutor oversaw the brutal suppression of the women-led protests, which left more than 500 dead.
Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, recognized the victory of Dr. Pezeshkian – the sole reformist candidate approved to run – and said he should “follow the path” of Mr. Raisi.
Yet analysts note that hard-liners’ policies deeply damaged Iran’s economy, isolated Iran in the region – where Iran and its allied militias are locked in a fight with Israel and the U.S. – and led to an unprecedented chasm between legions of Iranians and their rulers.
“What is really different this time around is that the overall situation has made clear: If you allow the most radical minds to govern the country in its entirety, the result will be catastrophic and get even worse,” says one longtime observer in Tehran, who asked not to be further identified. “And that, obviously, is something that voters care about.”
Overcoming a boycott campaign
Indeed, Dr. Pezeshkian’s campaign played on popular fear of Mr. Jalili and called on voters to “save Iran from Talibanism.” Mr. Jalili’s campaign, in turn, portrayed Dr. Pezeshkian and his team as a “dangerous, pro-Western clan.”
“We are losing our support in society, because of our behavior, high prices, our treatment of girls, and because we censor the internet,” Dr. Pezeshkian said in one televised debate.
In previous elections, higher turnout has favored reformist candidates. And getting out the vote this time required Iranians to overcome a potent boycott campaign, spearheaded by families of those killed in protests. On social media, they accused reformists participating in the election of being “traitors” who were benefiting from the loss of their loved ones.
Fatemeh Heydari, for example, whose brother Javad was killed by security forces in Isfahan province, posted on X that only traitors “would urge votes for a bunch of thieves and murderers.”
Majid Asgaripour/WANA/Reuters
Yet among those voting was Amir, a businessman and hotelier from southern Iran, who says he felt “hopeless” that his vote in the first round could stave off a hard-line victory, which he believed was baked into the system.
“The country has changed in the last two years; it is unrecognizable,” says Amir, who asked that only his first name be used.
“Lots of people started making a distance between themselves and anything from the regime; they wanted to be far away from that,” he says. “I voted, [but] this was the first time that I didn’t talk to anybody about voting or not, before the election. I didn’t want to convince anyone to vote. In the past I used to talk to people, to call them.
“This is not the reformist we were looking for,” says Amir, noting that Dr. Pezeshkian – unlike the two other reformist presidents since 1997 – is overtly religious and has often declared his allegiance to Ayatollah Khamenei, who decides all key matters of state.
“He is the one who is not a thief”
Still, one draw is the personal story of Dr. Pezeshkian, who was active as a doctor on the front lines of the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. When his wife and daughter were killed in a car accident some 30 years ago, he did not remarry – a rarity in Iran – and raised three remaining children on his own.
He was health minister during the second term of reformist President Mohammad Khatami, and has been elected to Parliament five times. He won kudos in the first week of the Mahsa Amini protests, when he told state-run TV that he blamed regime behavior for making “our children … hate our religion” by trying to “implement religious faith through the use of force.”
“His superpower is not being corrupt – people say that, among the other [candidates], he is the one who is not a thief,” says Amir. “Uniting is not his superpower. … I myself don’t have big hopes.”
Iranian presidents have limited scope of action, relative to the power of the supreme leader. Iran will continue close ties with Russia – which it has supplied with military drones to bombard Ukraine – and will keep backing Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” allies in their fight against Israeli and American interests.
But reformist presidents have set the tone domestically, raised hopes, and been given some leeway to conduct foreign policy – including clinching the 2015 nuclear deal with global powers, from which former President Donald Trump withdrew in 2018.
Dr. Pezeshkian promised on the campaign trail to ease economic suffering, which necessarily means some lifting of Western sanctions.
“Dr. Pezeshkian will try, and will be a proponent of trying to ease tensions with the West, and I think he will also be allowed to do so,” says Germany-based analyst Mr. Tabatabai. “When I say the West, it’s really the U.S.”
An Iranian researcher contributed to this report.