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Presumed guilt? Unpacking Japan’s 99.9% conviction rate.

Nearly 60 years after Ishikawa Kazuo was sentenced to death for murder, Japan’s court is deliberating on whether to grant the octogenarian a rare retrial.

Mr. Ishikawa maintains his innocence, claiming he was manipulated into a confession with threats and promises of a short sentence, and believes that newly disclosed evidence will help clear his name. Advocates say his case lays bare deep issues in Japan’s criminal justice system, which boasts a 99.9% conviction rate and relies heavily on confessions. 

Why We Wrote This

In Japan, prosecutors won’t pursue cases they’re not sure they can win. That certainty results in a 99.9% conviction rate, but as victims of wrongful convictions are attesting, it doesn’t always guarantee justice.

Lack of research makes it difficult to know how prevalent wrongful convictions are in Japan. What is known, at least nowadays, is that false confessions are not only common, but also relatively easy to induce. And experts say the culture surrounding crime in Japan – one that prioritizes fast arrests, demonizes offenders, and places immense trust in police and prosecutors – allows wrongful convictions to go unchallenged.

The Tokyo-based Association of Victims of Wrongful Convictions and the Japan Federation of Bar Associations are trying to change that by pushing to reform Japan’s retrial law.

“Mr. Ishikawa was falsely arrested before I was born,” says Aoki Keiko, who spent 20 years behind bars for the alleged murder of her daughter and now leads the victims’ association. “The system has been so wrong for so long.”

It’s been nearly 60 years since Ishikawa Kazuo was sentenced to death for the rape and murder of a high school girl in his hometown of Sayama, Japan. He’s maintained his innocence throughout the decades, and soon, he may get a rare chance to prove it.

By the end of this year, Japan’s court is expected to decide whether or not to grant the octogenarian a retrial.

“We have entered the final stretch,” he told a crowd of supporters at a Sayama rally earlier this year, bowing deeply and vowing to clear his name. 

Why We Wrote This

In Japan, prosecutors won’t pursue cases they’re not sure they can win. That certainty results in a 99.9% conviction rate, but as victims of wrongful convictions are attesting, it doesn’t always guarantee justice.

Advocates say his case lays bare deep issues in Japan’s criminal justice system, which boasts a 99.9% conviction rate and relies heavily on confessions. Lack of research makes it difficult to know how many innocent people are found guilty in Japan courts, but one lawyer estimates the country produces as many as 1,500 wrongful convictions annually – more than the United States, according to popular figures. The Tokyo-based Association of Victims of Wrongful Convictions is in contact with at least 25 prisoners who claim to be victims of wrongful conviction, and there are dozens more who’ve been released or acquitted.

Many are seeking justice by calling for legal reform and greater accountability from the state. But experts say the bigger challenge will be changing the culture surrounding crime in Japan – one that prioritizes fast arrests and convictions, demonizes offenders, and places immense trust in police and prosecutors.

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